Research Information System
Satoğlu Ş. I. (Executive), Kapukaya E. N., Çağlayan N., Öksüz M. K.
Project Supported by Higher Education Institutions, 2019 - 2021
In this
project, a two-stage stochastic programming model has been developed to
determine the number and location of "Temporary Medical Centers"
(Field Hospitals) that should be established after the disaster, under
uncertain conditions, in an optimum manner. The aim is to minimize the sum of
the temporary medical center establishment cost and the expected casualty
transportation cost before the disaster. In this model, uncertainty regarding
the disaster, damage to hospitals and damage to roads are represented in the
model in scenarios. In the second part of the project, the studies were conducted
in two parts: the decision support tool proposal for the casualty transport
process and the development of a mathematical model that can help
decision-makers for the ambulance allocation and direction by converting the
data obtained according to this system into information. In the first part of
the study, a data-based decision support tool based on Radio Frequency
Identification technology (RFID) is proposed to provide real-time tracking of
casualties and hospital capacities.Simulation analysis was conducted for
different scenarios by considering four two-level factors: triage type,
hospital selection decision, injured health score priority and number of
ambulances of the injured who were transferred to hospitals. Based on the
simulation results, the factors affecting performance criteria at a
statistically significant level were determined by factor analysis. Factor
analysis results create a bridge between simulation analysis and the mathematical
model. In the third part of the project, a multi-objective two-stage stochastic
programming model has been developed according to the determined important
factors. With the developed mathematical programming model, it was determined
which neighborhoods the existing emergency aid stations should cover and how many
existing ambulances should be located in these centers before the disaster, and
also inferences were made regarding the additional ambulance needs in different
scenarios after the disaster. In the mathematical model, the scenarios were
solved for Kartal District of Istanbul according for the nine scenarios created
according to the reports of the Japanese International Cooperation Agency
(JICA) (2002) and the Earthquake and Ground Investigation Directorate (DEZİM)
(2018).