Changes on perceived risks over time


Kundak S., Beyazıt E., Akçakaya Waite İ.

28th Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) - Europe Annual Conference, Potsdam, Almanya, 23 - 26 Haziran 2019

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Özet Bildiri
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Potsdam
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Almanya
  • İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

2019 is the 20th anniversary of the second devastating earthquake of the Turkish history. In August 17, 1999, an earthquake with the magnitude 7.4 hit the Marmara region. The death toll reached more than 17,000, number of injuries was around 44,000 out of approximately 40% were permanently disabled. During the last 20 years, two big earthquakes occurred in Turkey: Bingöl Earthquake in 2003 and Van Earthquake in 2011. At the same period, Turkish audiences witnessed earthquakes in Sumatra, Haiti, Bam, Sichuan, Tohoku and Nepal through broadcasts. All these disasters reminded the last devastating one to whom had experienced it and kept concerns on earthquake fresh. In 2003 and 2008, two comprehensive risk perception studies were conducted in Istanbul. Even though independent evaluation of these two studies shows lower perception of risk and limited activities and willingness in mitigation; their comparison indicates a notable improvement. Another study has been conducted in 2019 to assess shifts on risk perception and mitigation activities. The project has been supported by the Scientific Research Office of Istanbul Technical University. The results are intriguing regarding to different aspects. Firstly, the perception of young generation (born just before or after the 1999 earthquake) shows the effectiveness of both national earthquake risk reduction campaigns and compulsory curriculum at schools. Second, the success level of urban regeneration law which had been issued to provide safe physical environment for inhabitants, is evaluated. Third, risk ranking due to recent events and coping capacity of Istanbul citizens are presented.