Simple probabilistic and statistical risk calculations in an aquifer


Sen Z.

GROUND WATER, cilt.37, sa.5, ss.748-754, 1999 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 37 Sayı: 5
  • Basım Tarihi: 1999
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1111/j.1745-6584.1999.tb01167.x
  • Dergi Adı: GROUND WATER
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.748-754
  • İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Hayır

Özet

An objective methodology is proposed for assessing potential ground water yield on the basis of the randomness inherent in hydrogeological parameters as a result of uncertainty. Randomness is used here in the statistical sense to describe the ground water phenomenon on a regional basis. A systematic approach to selecting aquifer parameters is presented that leads to reliable ground water storage and subsurface flow estimates by incorporating a certain risk level. In addition, the averages of the specific ground water capacity and subsurface flow rate are calculated through a perturbation approach. This study demonstrates that cross-correlations between basic hydrogeologic variables might underestimate or overestimate model parameter values.