Temperature and Precipitation Risk Assessment Under Climate Change Effect in Northeast Algeria

Boudiaf B., Dabanlı İ., Boutaghane H., Şen Z.

Earth Systems and Environment, vol.4, no.1, pp.1-14, 2020 (ESCI) identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 4 Issue: 1
  • Publication Date: 2020
  • Doi Number: 10.1007/s41748-019-00136-7
  • Journal Name: Earth Systems and Environment
  • Journal Indexes: Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI), Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.1-14
  • Keywords: Climate change, Risk analysis, Trend analysis, Water structures
  • Istanbul Technical University Affiliated: No


© 2020, King Abdulaziz University and Springer Nature Switzerland AG.Climate change impacts on social, economic, industrial, agricultural, and water resource systems tend to increase incrementally with each passing day. Therefore, it is necessary to plan to control its effects, especially with regard to temperature and rainfall events impacting future water resource operation, maintenance and management works. Climate change has a direct influence at the trend of both components temperature and precipitation in increasing or decreasing manner depending on the study area. This paper presents and interprets temperature and rainfall trends for Northeast Algeria. A trend analysis technique was employed along with risk assessment. The modified risks associated with 2-, 5-, 10-, 25-, 50-, 100-, 250, and 500-year return periods are then calculated for each station. This methodology has been applied to precipitation and temperature records for six different meteorological stations in Northeast Algeria. This study confirms that climate change has and will continue to have an impact on temperature and precipitation that should be considered for all infrastructure planning, design, construction, operation, maintenance and optimum management studies in future.