New Possibilistic Mean - Variance Model Based on the Principal Components Analysis: An Application on the Turkish Holding Stocks

Göktaş F., Duran A.

JOURNAL OF MULTIPLE-VALUED LOGIC AND SOFT COMPUTING, cilt.32, ss.455-476, 2019 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 32
  • Basım Tarihi: 2019
  • Dergi Adı: JOURNAL OF MULTIPLE-VALUED LOGIC AND SOFT COMPUTING
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.455-476
  • İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Possibility Theory is a great tool to deal with the imprecise probability. However, the possibilistic counterpart of the mean - variance (MV) model has serious shortcomings. Thus, we propose a new possibilistic MV model, which depends on the Principal Components Analysis. The proposed model enables to incorporate subjective judgments into the portfolio selection. In addition, it captures the asymmetry in the return data unlike the MV model. The proposed model is also tractable as the MV model since it can be expressed as a concave quadratic maximization problem. After laying down the theoretical points, we illustrate it by using a real data set of six holding stocks trading on the Borsa Istanbul (BIST). We also compare the profitability and performance results of the proposed model and the MV model.