Classical and innovative-Şen trend assessment under climate change perspective


Dabanlı İ., Şen Z.

International Journal of Global Warming, cilt.15, sa.1, ss.19-37, 2018 (SCI-Expanded) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 15 Sayı: 1
  • Basım Tarihi: 2018
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1504/ijgw.2018.091951
  • Dergi Adı: International Journal of Global Warming
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.19-37
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Akarcay, Category, Climate change, Innovative-Şen, Significance, Trend
  • İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Hayır

Özet

Copyright © 2018 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.The main purpose of this paper is to provide a comparison between the innovative-Şen and classical trend methods. Additionally, significance levels at ±5% and ±10% levels are suggested for the first time on the innovative-Şen trend template, which works with the categorisation of given data into a set of classes such as 'low', 'medium' and 'high' values. However, the classical approaches consider holistic monotonic trend identification without categorisation. Classical trend analyses methods, Mann-Kendall trend test coupled with, Şen's slope and the classical regression line, are based on a set of restrictive assumptions, but the innovative-Şen approach does not have assumptions. Application of classical methods do not present significant trend component, however, the innovative-Şen trend method provides possible trend components in each cluster within the significance limits. Although the classical approaches do not indicate a significant trend, but innovative-Şen approach provides some categorically significant trends in detail and quantitative information.