Connecting logistics performance to export: A scenario-based approach


Kabak Ö. , ÜLENGİN F., Ekici S. O.

RESEARCH IN TRANSPORTATION ECONOMICS, vol.70, pp.69-82, 2018 (Journal Indexed in SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 70
  • Publication Date: 2018
  • Doi Number: 10.1016/j.retrec.2018.05.007
  • Title of Journal : RESEARCH IN TRANSPORTATION ECONOMICS
  • Page Numbers: pp.69-82

Abstract

We propose a novel scenario analysis-based approach to investigate the relationship between logistics performance and exports at a country level. Different from the existing scenario analysis methods that contain subjectivity in measuring consistency, the proposed approach uses objective information rather than expert opinions. We propose a binary integer program to select significantly different, consistent and small number of efficient scenarios. On the basis of the selected scenarios, we develop a new approach for evaluating the performance of strategies across a series of scenarios.