Estimated loss and rating of earthquake risk in eastern Turkey

IŞIK E., Kutanis M., Bal İ. E.

GRADEVINAR, vol.69, no.7, pp.581-592, 2017 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Review
  • Volume: 69 Issue: 7
  • Publication Date: 2017
  • Doi Number: 10.14256/jce.1242.2015
  • Journal Name: GRADEVINAR
  • Journal Indexes: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.581-592
  • Istanbul Technical University Affiliated: Yes


The seismic risk to urban building stock in Turkey is gaining in importance due to very high seismic hazard combined with its vulnerable and densely populated building stock. The research oriented on the eastern part of Turkey, where seismic sources and the level of seismic hazard are different, is presented in the paper. The results of the research show that the seismic safety of civil buildings is highly compromised even in this part of the country, and that expected losses are high and attain the level of "non-tolerable" losses. Economic losses and fatalities are also estimated in the paper, in case of realization of some of the expected scenarios.